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Thread: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

      
  1. #81
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    Weekly Technical Levels for September 3 - 7, 2012
    2012-09-03








    Observation (s):

    If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.

    Fibonacci retracement is used to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance, and playing according to in this kind of period.

    Fibonacci is in a range trader: it is looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down, if you sell or buy for a long term in this period, you'll go sure for losing your profit.

    Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.

    Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    EUR/CHF: Technical Analysis for September 7, 2012



    Forecast:

    At 1.2 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at the 1.254 level. Stop Loss is to be placed below 1.1850.

    Overview:

    EUR/CHF: The market is still showing signs of strength following the break above 1.2000. Therefore, it will turn to a strong support. In such case, a stronger rise should be seen towards 1.2524 resistance for confirmation. Moreover, the trend is still above 50% Fibonacci retracement level, thus it will be a good sign to buy above 1.2 and sell below 1.1850.

    Types of Analysis:


    •Fundamental analysis: the Swissie is also quoted amid the promise to “buy unlimited euro” in order to support this market.
    •Technical analysis: on a daily chart the level of 1.2 coincides with the golden ratio (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels), then it indicates for a bullish market.
    •Sentiment analysis: psychology level is at 1.2000, in this case one should be patient to keep the trade till the end.
    •Money management: always invest 3% - 7% of the capital (composite) per all trades, always risk (Stop Loss) 1% - 5% of the capital per all trades, and always trade high risk ratio trade at least 1/2.
    •Period: long term.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    USD/CHF: Weekly Technical Levels for September 10 - 14, 2012
    2012-09-10








    Tip (s):



    R3 and S3 can be both regarded as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.

    Pivot lines can be applied well on the sideways markets, as prices will probably be located between R1 and S1 lines.

    Within a strong trend, the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and will continue the movement.

    In case of breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for September 11, 2012.
    2012-09-11




    Weekly Pivot Point:

    R3: 0.8404
    R2: 0.8265
    R1: 0.8193
    PP: 0.8054
    S1: 0.7982
    S2: 0.7843
    S3: 0.7771


    Overview:

    The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.7964 (23.6% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart and the weekly support 1 at 0.7982). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.7964. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above 23.6% point of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart or at the level (0.7964) with the first targets at 0.8054 and 0.8193 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 2 (0.8193). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8193, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8054 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    GBP/USD: Technical Analysis for September 13, 2012



    Weekly Pivot Points:

    R3: 1.6295
    R2: 1.6164
    R1: 1.6087
    PP: 1.5956
    S1: 1.5879
    S2: 1.5748
    S3: 1.5671

    GBP/USD "Pound-Dollar":
    • Resistance: 1.6163 (sell below this level).
    • Support: 1.5956 (buy above this level).


    Trading Recommendations:


    According to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.5956 and 1.6095.

    The descending movement will probably be lower than 1.6163 level with the first target at 1.6040 and 1.5960 levels.
    Buy deals are recommended above the 1.5956 level with targets at 1.5990 and 1.6160 levels.


    Overview:


    It should be noticed that the market showed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in the narrow sideways channel. Due to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.5956 and 1.6095, so it is recommended to be careful while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably show the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 1.5956 level with their first target at the level of 1.5990. From this point, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to the point of 1.6083 and further to the level of 1.6160. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6163, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.6163. In this regard, sell deals are recommended lower than the 1.6163 level with the first target at 1.6040. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.5990 then 1.5956 (the weekly pivot point).
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    NZD/USD: Technical Analysis for September 13 -- 14, 2012.


    Weekly Pivot Point:

    R3: 0.8404
    R2: 0.8265
    R1: 0.8193
    PP: 0.8054
    S1: 0.7982
    S2: 0.7843
    S3: 0.7771


    Overview:


    The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8044 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1/H4 chart and the weekly weekly pivot point at 0.8054). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8044. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above 61.8% point of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart or at the level (0.8044) with the first targets at 0.8203 and 0.8255 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 2 (0.8265). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8265, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8130 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level 0.8054.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    EUR/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for September 17 - 21, 2012







    Tip (s):

    R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.

    Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.

    Within a strong trend the price, it is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.

    In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    NZD/USD: Technical Analysis for September 19, 2012.



    Overview:


    The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8103. Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8100. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above this strong support (0.8103) with the first targets at 0.8390 and 0.8500 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 2 (0.8513). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8500, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8370 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level 0.8241.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    EUR/USD: Technical Analysis for September 19 -- 20, 2012
    2012-09-19




    Weekly Pivot Points:

    R3: 1.3692
    R2: 1.3430
    R1: 1.3279
    PP: 1.3017
    S1: 1.2866
    S2: 1.2604
    S3: 1.2453


    Trading Recommendations:

    According to the previous events, the price is still located between 1.2921 and 1.3168.

    Buy deals are recommended above 1.2760 with the targets seen at 1.3170 and 1.3275 levels.
    Look for further downward movement below 1.3280 with the first target seen at 1.3083 and 1.2765 levels.


    Overview:

    The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two week point of 1.2760. Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.2760. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.2700, the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H1 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.2760. So, the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.2760. This can be a good sign for buy deals above 1.2760 with the first target at 1.3113 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.3170 and further to 1.3275. If the trend breaks the weekly pivot point (1.3017), then the pair will go upwards in these targets. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.2921 and 1.3168, as the last strong resistance level (1.3280) is still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.3280 on H4 chart with the first target 1.3083 and continues towards 1.2765.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    USD/CHF: Weekly Technical Levels for September 24 - 28, 2012
    2012-09-24










    Tip (s):


    R3 and S3 can be both regarded as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.

    Pivot lines can be applied well on the sideways markets, as prices will probably be located between R1 and S1 lines.

    Within a strong trend, the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and will continue the movement.

    In case of breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.
    Performed by El. Mourad, Analytical expert
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    GBP/USD: Technical Analysis for September 25, 2012




    Overview:


    It should be noticed that the market showed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in the narrow sideways channel. Due to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.6213 and 1.6303, so it is recommended to be careful while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably show the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 1.6160 level with their first target at the level of 1.6210. From this point, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to the point of 1.6260 and further to the level of 1.6300. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6303, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.6303. In this regard, sell deals are recommended lower than the 1.6303 level with the first target at 1.6267. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.6212 then 1.6159 (the weekly support 1).
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    USD/CHF: Technical Analysis for September 25, 2012

    Forecast:

    •Strong level (Resistance) will be formed at 0.9420 providing a clear signal for sell deals with the target seen at the 0.9310 level. Stop loss is to be placed above 0.9475.
    •Strong level (Support) will be formed at 0.9257 providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at the 0.9403 level. Stop loss is to be placed below 0.9200.



    Overview:

    USD/CHF:
    It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9320 and 0.9375, i.e. above the strong resistance level of 0.9420. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9420 and is presently approaching it to the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.9420 level. Sell deals are recommended below 0.9420 with the first target seen at the 0.9370 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.9310 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9257. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9257. Therefore, it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behavior. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 0.9260 with the first target seen at the 0.9345 level and further at the 0.9403 level.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    GBP/USD: Technical Analysis for September 26, 2012

    Weekly Pivot Points:

    R3: 1.6449
    R2: 1.6379
    R1: 1.6304
    PP: 1.6234
    S1: 1.6159
    S2: 1.6089
    S3: 1.6014



    GBP/USD "Pound-Dollar":
    • Resistance: 1.6303 (sell below this level).
    • Support: 1.6160 (buy above this level).


    Trading Recommendations:

    According to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.62013 and 1.6275.

    The descending movement will probably be lower than 1.6303 level with the first target at 1.6237 and 1.6163 levels.
    Buy deals are recommended above the 1.6160 level with targets at 1.6257 and 1.6300 levels.

    Overview:

    It should be noticed that the market showed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in the narrow sideways channel. Due to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.6213 and 1.6303, so it is recommended to be careful while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably show the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 1.6160 level with their first target at the level of 1.6210. From this point, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to the point of 1.6260 and further to the level of 1.6300. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6303, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.6303. In this regard, sell deals are recommended lower than the 1.6303 level with the first target at 1.6267. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.6212 then 1.6159 (the weekly support 1).
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    NZD/USD: Weekly Technical Levels for October 1 - 5, 2012
    2012-10-01










    Tip (s):

    • R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, although it is possible to pass them through.

    • Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices will probably be located between the R1 and S1 lines.

    • Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and is going to continue its movement.

    • If the news released affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    GBP/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for October 4, 2012



    Overview:


    It should be noticed that the market showed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in the narrow sideways channel. Due to the previous events, the price is still between the levels of 1.6180 and 1.6095, so it is recommended to be careful while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then the market will probably show the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 1.6100 level with their first target at the level of 1.6157. From this point, the pair is likely to begin an ascending movement to the point of 1.6210 and further to the level of 1.6250. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.6250, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.6250. In this regard, sell deals are recommended lower than the 1.6250 level with the first target at 1.6200. It is possible that the pair will turn downwards continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.6164 then 1.6095 (the weekly support 1).


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NZD/USD: Technical Analysis for October 4, 2012



    Overview:

    The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.8200. Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.8200. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above this strong support (0.8200) with the first targets at 0.8300 and 0.8380 (it will serve as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with the weekly resistance 1 (0.8377). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.8380, the market will show a further decline to the 0.8323 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly pivot point at this level 0.8280.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    Weekly Technical Levels for October 8 - 12, 2012
    2012-10-08


    EUR/USD:



    GBP/USD:


    USD/CHF:


    NZD/USD:

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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    Weekly Technical Levels for October 15 - 19, 2012
    2012-10-15


    EURUSD:
    [img]Weekly Technical Levels for October 15 - 19, 2012 2012-10-15[/img]

    GBPUSD:


    USDCHF:



    Kiwi


    Tip (s):


    • R3 and S3 are considered to be clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
    • Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 lines.
    • Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.
    • If the breaking news released may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.
    Performed by El. Mourad, Analytical expert
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    USD/CHF: Technical Analysis for October 18, 2012
    2012-10-18


    Forecast:
    Strong level (Resistance) will be formed at 0.9280 providing a clear signal for sell deals with the target seen at 0.9150 level. Stop-loss is to be placed above 0.9315.
    Strong level (Support) will be formed at 0.9140 providing a clear signal for buy deals with the target seen at 0.9220 level. Stop-loss is to be placed below 0.9110.



    Overview:
    USD/CHF: It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points of 0.9220 and 0.9315, i.e. above the strong resistance level of 0.9280. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9280 and is presently approaching to the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the structure which does not look corrective and indicating the bearish opportunity below 0.9280 level. Sell deals are recommended below 0.9280 with the first target seen at 0.9200 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards 0.9150 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9140. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9140. Therefore, it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behavior. In other words, buy deals are recommended above 0.9140 with the first target seen at 0.9220 level and if the weekly support 1 (0.9280) will be broken successfully, then the pair will go further at 0.9330 level. It should be noted that the support 1 (0.9280) becomes a resistance after it is broken.

    Weekly Pivot Points
    R3: 0.9547
    R2: 0.9489
    R1: 0.9412
    PP: 0.9354
    S1: 0.9277
    S2: 0.9219
    S3: 0.9142
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    EUR/USD: Technical Analysis for October 18, 2012



    Overview:
    The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two-day point of 1.3040. Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.3040. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.3040 yesterday, the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H4 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.3040. The pair will move upwards, it is convincing; the structure of the upside movement does not look corrective and is indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.3040. This can be a good sign for buy deals above 1.3040 with the first target at 1.3135 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.3203 and further to 1.3140. If the trend breaks the weekly resistance 2 (1.3133), then the pair will go upwards to these targets. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.3055 and 1.3100, as the last strong resistance level (1.3240) is still able to begin a downtrend at this level. Thus, the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.3240 on H4 chart with the first target at 1.3180 and continues towards 1.3115.
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    Default Re: FOREX Recommendations and Analysis -- Discussion --

    [COLOR="red"Weekly Technical Levels for October 22 - 26, 2012[/COLOR]

    GBPUSD:


    EURUSD:


    USDCHF:
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