Weekly analysis EUR/USD

[famcltd]

The break early this year of 1.2875 - low recorded back on 10th January 2011 - is just confirming things should get worse for the EUR/USD in 2012. The head and shoulders pattern that took place in 2011 calls for much lower prices in 2012.

First “logical target” is set at 1.1880, previous Dow Theory pivot point made back in June 2010. A break below this level can open basically the parity mark, but this is another story at this stage. Resistance set at 1.3240/60 will be now very tough to break – thus, price tend to retest the head and shoulders neckline before continuing its course (not a must, a possibility). First support is set at 1.2580 and should be the next meeting point for the bears and the bulls. 1.30 remains the first serious psychological resistance barrier.

A head & shoulders pattern is in place, with its neckline acting as resistance and set around 1.3250. This bearish patterns calls for a target of 1.1270 – the head equals the distance from 1.4940 to 1.3000 and the neckline was broken at 1.3210. Subtracting the 1940 pips from 1.3210, targets roughly below 1.13. So much for the math today.

Only a move above previous Dow Pivot level will cancel this scenario – in other words 1.4270. Sell rallies is favored, with the region of 1.3250 being now the first barrier bulls shall conquer to pressure the bears.

See the chart on our blog
forex-analysisblog.com

FAMCLTD

[bonus123]

Weelky analysis: Despite dipping to as long 1.2974, EUR/USD rebounded strongly and the breach of 1.3190 minor resistance dampened the immediate bearish view. Initial bias is neutral this week for some sideway trading first